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Ask a question
Write a question, let AI draft the details, or import one from a prediction market.
Steps
- In the Library, choose New question.
- To copy a question from Kalshi, Polymarket or Metaculus, paste its link into Import from URL and choose Import.
- Otherwise, write your question in Question. A good question is clear, has an end date and has an outcome someone can check later.
- Pick a Question type, or leave it empty and let the AI choose.
- Choose Complete with AI. Prolepsia drafts the description and the resolution criteria from your title.
- Read the draft and change anything that is not right.
- Under Review assumptions, choose Yes, keep this for each assumption you agree with, or No, change it to correct it.
- Add notes or files under Additional forecast context if every forecast should read them.
- Choose Create question to save it, or Run forecast to save it and start a forecast straight away.
Good to know
- Drafting with AI costs no credits. A forecast does.
- You can edit the wording and the details after you create the question.
- To start from the shape of a question you ask often, pick a template under Start from a template at the top of the form.